Given a sequence w of distinct numbers, let N(w) be the length of w and let L(w) be the length of the longest increasing subsequence in w. For example, if
w = 3 5 8 1 4
then N(w) = 5 and L(w) = 3.
The game ends when L(w) = N(w), or, equivalently, N(w) - L(w) = 0.
Working the game backwards, if on RobotX's turn N(w) - L(w) = 1, then the optimal play is to remove the unique letter not in a longest increasing subsequence, thereby winning the game.
For example, if w = 1 7 3, then N(w) = 3 and L(w) = 2 with a longest increasing subsequence being 1 3. Removing the 7 results in an increasing sequence, ensuring that the player who removed the 7 wins.
Going back to the previous example, w = 3 5 8 1 4, if either 1 or 4 is removed, then for the resulting permutation u we have N(u) - L(u) = 1, so the player who removed the 1 or 4 will certainly lose to a competent opponent. However, any other play results in a victory since it forces the next player to move to a losing position. Here, the optimal play is to remove any of 3, 5, or 8, after which N(u) - L(u) = 2, but after the next move N(v) - L(v) = 1.
Further analysis along these lines should lead to an optimal strategy for either player.
The nearest mathematical game that I do know is the Monotone Sequence Game. In a monotonic sequence game, two players alternately choose elements of a sequence from some fixed ordered set (e.g. 1,2,...,N). The game ends when the resulting sequence contains either an ascending subsequence of length A or a descending one of length D. This game has its origins with a theorem of Erdos and Szekeres, and a nice exposition can be found in MONOTONIC SEQUENCE GAMES, and this slide presentation by Bruce Sagan is also a good reference.
If you want to know more about game theory in general, or these sorts of games in particular, then I strong recommend Winning Ways for Your Mathematical Plays by Berlekamp, Conway and Guy. Volume 3, I believe, addresses these sorts of games.